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Christopher Carolan on Financial Markets & Lunar Cycles

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The Surge

September 16th, 2008 at 10:43pm · No Comments

No, not that surge. The first chart show the tremendous surge in put/call option volume today. That surge is commensurate with a market extreme. The second chart shows the put/call ratio which is high enough to mark a low, though I’d prefer a more extreme reading. However, here I think the volume is more important than the ratio itself.

click chart to enlarge

click chart to enlarge

Yesterdays update, Watch Rates, said to look for a reversal in interest rates as the sign of a stock market bottom. Rate markets across the board reversed dramatically. The chart below shows the eurodollar futures which managed to form a bearish range-bust reversal on the weekly chart – and it’s only Tuesday!

click chart to enlarge

The 135 minute eMini chart shows the tick cycle-trap divergence confirmed on today’s last bar. I’m skeptical as to how much actual upside can be acheived in this financial climate here. But it’s safe to say a bottom of at least a short duration has been reached. Perhaps some type of sideways bear flag will form in the 1180-1240 range as stocks work off their indigestion from the turmoil of recent weeks.

click chart to enlarge

Tags: Eurodollars · Gold · S&P 500 · Sentiment

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