Comments on: The Tricks Index Treats http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/ Christopher Carolan on Financial Markets & Lunar Cycles Fri, 18 May 2012 09:30:27 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: Peter http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-147 Peter Thu, 16 Oct 2008 19:45:26 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-147 Chris, having got the trigger, how does that reconcile with (your forecast?) of a sell-off/major low Oct 26th. Thanks Chris, having got the trigger, how does that reconcile with (your forecast?) of a sell-off/major low Oct 26th. Thanks

]]> By: molecool http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-141 molecool Mon, 13 Oct 2008 22:18:57 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-141 Regarding fee based service. I think I could spring 29.99/month for the medium term service. I am not familiar with the short term, so would need to see one first. Regarding fee based service. I think I could spring 29.99/month for the medium term service. I am not familiar with the short term, so would need to see one first.

]]> By: molecool http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-140 molecool Mon, 13 Oct 2008 22:16:37 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-140 IRL - agree with you mostly. IRL – agree with you mostly.

]]> By: IRL http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-139 IRL Mon, 13 Oct 2008 20:36:06 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-139 A few people have asked how we could hit new lows in late Oct. Clearly last week saw mass liquidation but was it really end of the world capitulation? Know this is not an elliottwave forum but most likely in a 4th wave consolidation now in the ongoing move since Aug, in my view. These 4ths are often triangular which would allow for some range trading before a final blow out late Oct. The first upmove usually stops at .382 of the decline (1002) which would cooincide with tonight's close. After crash or extended 3rd wave moves an unusual .50 retrace is possible at 1052. Either way, would mean a tightening range between 850-1000/50 for a few weeks before fresh lows. Chris, remember you used to rank Octobers as "friendly" or "unfriendly" depending on a second criteria. If the crisis target did not match this second criteria, the likelihood of an Oct low in the crisis window was reduced. Does this second test apply this year. You asked for feedback on what people like/would be happy to pay for. The periodic papers were what I enjoyed most from before. Still with such shocking speed and volatility in markets, both the medium term and more short web analysis have a value for me at current time. A few people have asked how we could hit new lows in late Oct. Clearly last week saw mass liquidation but was it really end of the world capitulation? Know this is not an elliottwave forum but most likely in a 4th wave consolidation now in the ongoing move since Aug, in my view. These 4ths are often triangular which would allow for some range trading before a final blow out late Oct. The first upmove usually stops at .382 of the decline (1002) which would cooincide with tonight’s close. After crash or extended 3rd wave moves an unusual .50 retrace is possible at 1052. Either way, would mean a tightening range between 850-1000/50 for a few weeks before fresh lows.

Chris, remember you used to rank Octobers as “friendly” or “unfriendly” depending on a second criteria. If the crisis target did not match this second criteria, the likelihood of an Oct low in the crisis window was reduced. Does this second test apply this year.

You asked for feedback on what people like/would be happy to pay for. The periodic papers were what I enjoyed most from before. Still with such shocking speed and volatility in markets, both the medium term and more short web analysis have a value for me at current time.

]]> By: molecool http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-138 molecool Mon, 13 Oct 2008 19:26:20 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-138 Thanks for sharing the details - that's very generous of you - greatly appreciated. Well, I was on the short side most of today and took a kick to the groin. Closed my positions when $SPX pushed above 970, which is more than 1.618 times the a wave I counted. It seems we're in wave 4 now (consolidation pattern). Thanks for sharing the details – that’s very generous of you – greatly appreciated.

Well, I was on the short side most of today and took a kick to the groin. Closed my positions when $SPX pushed above 970, which is more than 1.618 times the a wave I counted. It seems we’re in wave 4 now (consolidation pattern).

]]> By: tobject http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-137 tobject Mon, 13 Oct 2008 16:15:51 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-137 Do you include all old Calendar Research Reports with $35 donation? I’d like to read any additions to the theory Do you include all old Calendar Research Reports with $35 donation?
I’d like to read any additions to the theory

]]> By: AndyB http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-136 AndyB Mon, 13 Oct 2008 15:11:02 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-136 Chris, Maybe your indicator was waiting for Fibonacci? (see my comments under Cramer). So I am now waiting for a confirmation of a resumption of the downtrend; into the Dark Days? I have done some calculations as follows; if you have time maybe you could comment on them: F11 from 23/1/08 gives 28/10/2008 F7 from 15/7/08 gives 29/10/2008 In an attempt to recreate figure 5-2 in your book I found a spiral back from the full moon of 16/1/2014 for 24/10/2008 (the end of a panic?) There are also Fibonacci reationships here as well; the monthly chart shows a golden section based on 31 Oct/1 Nov. Sorry, Im in the UK and dates are in English format. Chris,
Maybe your indicator was waiting for Fibonacci? (see my comments under Cramer).
So I am now waiting for a confirmation of a resumption of the downtrend; into the Dark Days? I have done some calculations as follows; if you have time maybe you could comment on them:
F11 from 23/1/08 gives 28/10/2008
F7 from 15/7/08 gives 29/10/2008
In an attempt to recreate figure 5-2 in your book I found a spiral back from the full moon of 16/1/2014 for 24/10/2008 (the end of a panic?)

There are also Fibonacci reationships here as well; the monthly chart shows a golden section based on 31 Oct/1 Nov.

Sorry, Im in the UK and dates are in English format.

]]> By: Peter http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-133 Peter Mon, 13 Oct 2008 05:07:34 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-133 Chris, assuming we get a trigger next few days, how does that reconcile with (your forecast?) of a sell-off/major low Oct 26th Chris, assuming we get a trigger next few days, how does that reconcile with (your forecast?) of a sell-off/major low Oct 26th

]]> By: chris http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-132 chris Mon, 13 Oct 2008 00:55:48 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-132 Details here http://carolan.org/2008/06/13/the-tricks-index/ Details here http://carolan.org/2008/06/13/the-tricks-index/

]]> By: molecool http://spiralcalendar.com/2008/10/the-tricks-index-treats/comment-page-1/#comment-131 molecool Sun, 12 Oct 2008 23:42:55 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=887#comment-131 Is this a momentum indicator? Is this a momentum indicator?

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