Comments on: Gold http://spiralcalendar.com/2009/01/gold/ Christopher Carolan on Financial Markets & Lunar Cycles Fri, 18 May 2012 09:30:27 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: AC http://spiralcalendar.com/2009/01/gold/comment-page-1/#comment-344 AC Thu, 15 Jan 2009 10:55:33 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=1266#comment-344 ps I think I've probably lost more money trading analogs than I've made over the years. That said, I looked back at the old post on bonds/gold. Bonds also consolidated back to their breakout level - perhaps not as fiercely - before the bond moon shot began ps I think I’ve probably lost more money trading analogs than I’ve made over the years. That said, I looked back at the old post on bonds/gold. Bonds also consolidated back to their breakout level – perhaps not as fiercely – before the bond moon shot began

]]> By: AC http://spiralcalendar.com/2009/01/gold/comment-page-1/#comment-343 AC Thu, 15 Jan 2009 10:45:55 +0000 http://spiralcalendar.com/?p=1266#comment-343 Hi Chris 3 questions / comments - From reviewing the solunar charts when they are "hot", they can get the shape and extent of big trend moves down quite well. I do think the date aspect is a big less on the button. Often the turn lags/leads about a week. Even on the chart above, the model calls all of (1) late summer rally (2) Oct Nov fall (3) Dec rally and (4) Jan fall right. However, if for instance a trader waited for the actual model low in late Nov, they'd have given back 1/2 their profits. The same is true for all the other turns. Does it not make more sence to think for the Jan 15 low and other turn points "expect a decent one month rally to start at Jan 15 +/- a week and to end Feb 10 +/- a week". It's less precise but more likely to be accurate. - Some year's back you drew attention to gold peaks / lows co-inciding with full or new moons (can't remember exactly). Would putting them on the solunar add any value or are they already in the the model - I guess so ? - Have you stopped running the spiral dates ... I would have thought with the highly emotional nature of markets there might be good chances of big reversals on the multi-market cluster dates Hi Chris

3 questions / comments

- From reviewing the solunar charts when they are “hot”, they can get the shape and extent of big trend moves down quite well. I do think the date aspect is a big less on the button. Often the turn lags/leads about a week. Even on the chart above, the model calls all of (1) late summer rally (2) Oct Nov fall (3) Dec rally and (4) Jan fall right. However, if for instance a trader waited for the actual model low in late Nov, they’d have given back 1/2 their profits. The same is true for all the other turns. Does it not make more sence to think for the Jan 15 low and other turn points “expect a decent one month rally to start at Jan 15 +/- a week and to end Feb 10 +/- a week”. It’s less precise but more likely to be accurate.

- Some year’s back you drew attention to gold peaks / lows co-inciding with full or new moons (can’t remember exactly). Would putting them on the solunar add any value or are they already in the the model – I guess so ?

- Have you stopped running the spiral dates … I would have thought with the highly emotional nature of markets there might be good chances of big reversals on the multi-market cluster dates

]]>