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Christopher Carolan on Financial Markets & Lunar Cycles

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Entries from December 2009

Next Week – Next Year

December 31st, 2009 · 1 Comment

Year-end is both a boring time and an anticipatory time for markets. Most markets get relatively quiet. Yet for some, that quietness is just the prelude to new and interesting trends that break out in early January.  The question I’m stuck on is whether stocks have been held up by year end forces while the […]

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Tags: Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · S&P 500 · Solunar Model

The Euro Speaks

December 29th, 2009 · No Comments

Today’s action in the euro has a strong message for future direction of the dollar rally.

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Tags: Euro

State of the Blog

December 29th, 2009 · 3 Comments

I think I’ve been able to restore more functionality to the blog following the infection by a worm that managed to cause considerable havoc.  Newly registered members can now subscribe once again via the subscriptions button at the top of this page. There are a few more tweaks that need to be taken care of […]

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Tags: Blog News

Latest Case Shiller Housing Data

December 29th, 2009 · No Comments

The latest Case Shiller housing numbers are out. As usual, I’ve put them into helpful chart and table format. I’ll let people draw their own conclusions. It’s worth noting that there’s a fair amount of lag in the data. They report with a two month lag, but each monthly number is a three-month moving average. […]

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Tags: Real Estate

Short Term Doings

December 28th, 2009 · No Comments

U.S. stocks may generate an interesting short-term signal in the next few trading hours.

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Tags: General Market Commentary · S&P 500

Oil & the Dollar

December 23rd, 2009 · No Comments

I noted back on December 16 that crude oil had formed back-to-back range bust days, and that such occurrences were rare and powerful signals. Oil closed that day at 73.72 and is now at 76.75.

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Tags: Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary

We’re Back – Sort Of

December 23rd, 2009 · 1 Comment

The blog is recovering from a rather nasty worm infection.  Basic posting has returned, but it may be awhile before I get the subscription sign-up module back up and running.  Thanks for your patience!  Happy Holidays!  Mine will be spent squashing web code bugs!

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Tags: Blog News

Analog on the Seasonal Fire

December 23rd, 2009 · No Comments

Here’s a couple of interesting charts. First, is an analog comparing the NASDAQ from the 2000 top to the Japanese Nikkei from its 1989 top. This chart has been floating around for a while and is not my work. But it’s interesting. I tend to think analogs break down those times when the driving forces […]

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Tags: General Market Commentary · S&P 500 · Solunar Model