spiralcalendar.com

Christopher Carolan on Financial Markets & Lunar Cycles

spiralcalendar.com header image 4

Entries Tagged as 'S&P 500'

Weekly Update

August 30th, 2015 · No Comments

More volatility ahead, though it will likely dissipate somewhat in the short-term.

[Read more →]

Tags: Bonds · Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · S&P 500 · Silver · Solunar Model · Yen

The Spiral Calendar – In from the Wilderness

August 29th, 2015 · 1 Comment

The previous blog post lays out the reasoning that The Spiral Calendar may again be a useful forecasting tool. The Central Banks grip on price appreciation appears (at least for now) broken. We don’t doubt they will try to reassert that grip.  The break seems to have begun near or on the May 19, all […]

[Read more →]

Tags: General Market Commentary · S&P 500 · The Spiral Calendar

Stocks Awaken from “The Great Sedation.”

August 29th, 2015 · No Comments

Jim Grant on “The Great Sedation.”   There has been no appreciable volatility for four years.  Jim Grant brilliantly labels this period, The Great Sedation.  Cue the Ramones.     The Spiral Calendar links emotional market (and human) events through time. The Central Banks deployment of The Great Sedation has surpressed emotional expression in markets, […]

[Read more →]

Tags: General Market Commentary · Money Printing Pump · S&P 500 · The Spiral Calendar

They Don’t Look Good

August 25th, 2015 · No Comments

And that’s an understatement.

[Read more →]

Tags: Bonds · Crude Oil · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · S&P 500 · Silver · Yen

“October Falls in August this Year” Chris Carolan Aug. 16

August 23rd, 2015 · No Comments

The Solunar Model may not have pinpointed the timing of the turn, but it’s call for a steep, October-like decline in August this year set it apart from the other seasonal models on Wall. St. click chart to enlarge Short dollar yen and long gold are virtually the same trade, and have been for a […]

[Read more →]

Tags: Bonds · Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · Money Printing Pump · S&P 500 · Silver · Solunar Model · Yen

The Asian Panic

August 20th, 2015 · 1 Comment

The Asian panic is spreading to North America and Europe. We underestimate the pressures from that region at our own risk.

[Read more →]

Tags: Bonds · Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · Money Printing Pump · S&P 500 · Silver · Solunar Model · Yen

Too Early

August 18th, 2015 · 1 Comment

It’s too early to assess the impact of the just-passed, seasonal stock low.

[Read more →]

Tags: Bonds · Crude Oil · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · S&P 500 · Solunar Model · Yen

October Falls in August this Year

August 16th, 2015 · No Comments

In most years, the seasonal low for equities occurs in September or October, from which a 4th quarter rally usually ensues.  Our seasonal work, and ours alone on Wall St., shows that this year’s seasonal bottom falls in August.

[Read more →]

Tags: S&P 500