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Christopher Carolan on Financial Markets & Lunar Cycles

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Central Banks Still at the Wheel

October 21st, 2014 at 6:22pm · No Comments

They are driving this car, not cycles, not seasonals, not your favorite indicator.

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→ No CommentsTags: Bonds · Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · Money Printing Pump · S&P 500 · Silver · Solunar Model

Weclome to the Chartateria

October 19th, 2014 at 5:28pm · No Comments

Some interesting charts this evening showing relationships between central bank balance sheets, foreign exchange rates, and the S&P 500.

bojecbpump

click chart to enlarge

The Money Printing Pump chart I show frequently does not factor in the Japanese printing. This chart of the ratio of Japanese central bank assets to European central bank assests shows how the S&P pullbacks align with pauses in Japanese printing.bojfeddollaryen

click chart to enlarge

The long-term relationship between dollar yen and relative Japanese and US money printing remains intact. The Japanese are printing faster than the US, hence their currency is falling. A light pause in that ratio recently has seen a pullback in dollar yen.

 

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→ No CommentsTags: Bonds · Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · Money Printing Pump · S&P 500 · Silver · Solunar Model

The FED: Out of Bullets? Re-load with Words

October 16th, 2014 at 5:38pm · No Comments

When the FED is out of bullets to fire, they re-load with words.

101614gaspedaltaper

click chart to enlarge

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Rallies in Vacuums

October 15th, 2014 at 6:30pm · No Comments

October 8th’s 2.3% SPX rally and today’s 2.7% SPX rally low to peak look like new algo-era rallies within a vacuum.

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→ No CommentsTags: General Market Commentary · S&P 500

On Track

October 14th, 2014 at 6:05pm · No Comments

There’s no change in my outlook. The October lows are not yet in place.

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→ No CommentsTags: Bonds · Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · S&P 500 · Silver

Weekly Update

October 12th, 2014 at 5:25pm · No Comments

The Money Printing Pump shows how the FED’s taking their foot off the gas in recent month’s has enabled current market weakness.

101214pump

click chart to enlarge

Tonight’s nearly 8 minute video discussion might be a spiralcalendar.com record.

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→ No CommentsTags: Bonds · Crude Oil · General Market Commentary · Gold · Money Printing Pump · S&P 500 · Silver · Solunar Model

Price & Time Estimates for a Low

October 11th, 2014 at 10:39am · No Comments

Some calculations for clients.

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→ No CommentsTags: General Market Commentary · S&P 500

October Insights

October 9th, 2014 at 4:25pm · 1 Comment

What to look for now.

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→ 1 CommentTags: Bonds · Crude Oil · Euro · General Market Commentary · Gold · Market Internals · S&P 500 · Silver · Solunar Model