Today's video discusses the current tidal cycle and my expectation for how that cycle impacts this new, bear market.
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Author: ChrisC
Weekly Update
The market continues to give us more evidence that a psychological change in sentiment occurred on the September 6 New Moon.
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The 6 hr FX Weathervane chart shows the two sharp headwinds that occurred on Tuesday and Friday. I expect more volatility ahead.
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Liquidity is tightening and that development is bearish.
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Another mid-Month Correction. Is it that Easy?
The battle of 4480 on the ES futures is important. Bears need to hold that resistance level.
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Wind Shift
Equities have been behaving like a bear market ever since that September 6 New Moon.
The tides are turning down now for the next few days. Hang On!!
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Weekly Update
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Yes, I trolled Twitter with this chart on Thurs. Two main points, we don't have a Spiral Calendar relationship similar to '29-'87 here and we didn't have the matching Spring lows, so this is not a crash forecast. But we DO KNOW that late summer New Moon tops are a piece of the puzzle leading to Autumn volatility. And that piece of information is a huge edge in the early days of Autumn volatility when most are waiting for their lagging oscillators to bark at them.
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That crypto and lumber joined equities in New Moon reversals is an important indicator that a general, public mood switch triggered on this recent New Moon. For subscribers, we'll be following the short-term tidal cycles closely, as they have shown time and again to be effective during periods of volatility (and useless during quiet markets!)
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Monday’s Moon
With the new moon marking tops in stocks, crypto, and lumber, this top is unlikely to be exceeded anytime soon. The change in crowd sentiment is palpable.
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Some Signals
The daily ES chart triggered two signals today, a bearish RSI divergence and a nominal close below the 2519.25 Net Line. Net Line penetrations have been rare of late.
The move lower (emotional in crypto) on the day after a late summer, new moon all-time high is auspicious for the bears.
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Weekly Update
Equities continue to follow the Money Printing Pump as they have for over a decade now!
However should traditional autumn cycles emerge, we will be prepared! Discussion inside.
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