Who’s On First?

After seeing a few too many tweets stating that the oil market is leading this highly-correlated dance, I investigated last night’s sharp reversal and found it was dollar yen, not crude oil that set the trend.

yen2

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yen

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If world financial markets are depending on dollar yen now, we are in for some trouble, as the above long-term, as yet unconfirmed, head-and-shoulders formation on dollar yen shows.

012616tides

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012616spxAD

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Continue reading Who’s On First?

Fearless

The lack of fear (VIX)  at the low, despite great technical damage (new lows), leaves  me a non-believer in the bull case here.

011416vix

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011416newlows

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011416spxAD

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The S&P 500 AD oscillator might be the best argument for the bulls.

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