Some interesting charts this evening showing relationships between central bank balance sheets, foreign exchange rates, and the S&P 500.
click chart to enlarge
The Money Printing Pump chart I show frequently does not factor in the Japanese printing. This chart of the ratio of Japanese central bank assets to European central bank assests shows how the S&P pullbacks align with pauses in Japanese printing.
click chart to enlarge
The long-term relationship between dollar yen and relative Japanese and US money printing remains intact. The Japanese are printing faster than the US, hence their currency is falling. A light pause in that ratio recently has seen a pullback in dollar yen.
Friday's rally prevented (or postponed) a very bearish signal for the S&P 500. My Money Printing Pump constructed from FED and ECB data continues to track equities nicely, though it lags due to settlement delays, limiting its forecasting usefulness.